In this section, you will start learning the real core of technical trading. These chapters focus on how price moves in the market and how traders can interpret those movements using price action techniques.
You will study supply and demand zones, candlestick patterns, support and resistance levels, and how these zones influence buying and selling pressure in the market. You will also learn how trends are formed and how breakout trading works in real market conditions.
- Chapter 6: Price Action Mastery – Learn how price moves in the market and understand supply-demand zones.
- Chapter 7: Candlestick Patterns – Understand candlestick structures and important bullish and bearish patterns.
- Chapter 8: Support & Resistance – Learn to identify support and resistance levels for better entries and exits.
- Chapter 9: Trend Following – Learn trend identification, moving averages, and trendline strategies.
- Chapter 10: Breakout Trading – Understand breakout setups, breakout types, and how to avoid false breakouts.
By the end of this section, you will be able to read charts more confidently and identify potential trading opportunities based on price behavior rather than emotions or guesses.
Chapter 6: Price Action Mastery
In this chapter, you will learn the fundamentals of technical analysis, chart types, trends, and volume basics.
Chapter 6
Price Action Mastery
प्राइस एक्सन — Indicator बिना Market बुझ्ने कला
Price Action भनेको Indicator नलगाई, केवल Candlestick र Price को Movement बाट Market बुझ्ने सबैभन्दा Powerful Trading Method हो। यो सिक्नु भनेको Market को भाषा सिक्नु हो।
६.१ Wyckoff Market Cycle MARKET BEHAVIOR
Market हमेशा यी ५ Phases मा घुम्छ। Smart Money (Institutions) यो Cycle जान्दछन् — Retail Traders जान्दैनन्। तलको Stepper मा प्रत्येक Phase click गरी बुझ्नुहोस्:
६.२ Supply र Demand Zones ZONES
Supply र Demand Zones भनेको Chart मा ती ठाउँहरू हुन् जहाँ Institutional Traders ले ठूलो Order Place गर्छन्। यी Zones नै Price को असली Magnet हुन्।
Interactive Zone Chart Live
| Zone Type | के हुन्छ | पहिचान गर्ने तरिका | Trade Idea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Demand Zone | Buyers धेरै, Price माथि जान्छ | Strong Bullish Candle बाट निस्केको | Buy on Retest |
| Supply Zone | Sellers धेरै, Price तल जान्छ | Strong Bearish Candle बाट निस्केको | Sell on Retest |
| Role Reversal | Support तोडिए → Resistance बन्छ | Breakout + Retest Pattern | Flip Zone Entry |
| Fresh Zone | पहिलो पटक Test भएको Zone | Price पहिले कहिले Touch नगरेको | Highest Probability |
६.३ Price Reaction Zones REACTION
Strong Support Zone
Price पटक-पटक यहाँबाट उठेको छ। Buyers Institutional Level मा छन्।
Buy near support
Strong Resistance Zone
Price यहाँबाट बारम्बार फर्कन्छ। Sellers Institutional Level मा छन्।
Sell near resistance
Broken Support → Resistance
Support तोडिए पछि Retest मा नयाँ Resistance बन्छ। Role Reversal।
Sell on retest
Broken Resistance → Support
Resistance Break भए पछि Retest मा Support बन्छ। Breakout Trade।
Buy on retest
Key Reaction Zone Concept
Round Numbers (100, 200, 500, 1000) हमेशा Strong Psychological Zone हुन्छन् — NEPSE मा Rs.500, Rs.1000, Rs.2000 यस्तै Zones हुन्। यहाँ Price Reaction अवश्य आउँछ।
६.४ Zone को शक्ति बढाउने Factors STRENGTH
| Factor | Effect | NEPSE Example | Strength |
|---|---|---|---|
| पटक-पटक Test (3+ times) | धेरै पटक Bounce भएको Zone बलियो | Rs.450 Level NABIL मा | Very Strong |
| High Volume मा Touch | Institutional Interest को प्रमाण | Volume Spike + Reversal | Strong |
| Round Number (100,500,1000) | Psychological Support/Resistance | Rs.1000, Rs.500 Levels | Strong |
| 52-Week High/Low | Annual Key Level — सबैले देख्छन् | Annual Low = Strong Support | Moderate-Strong |
| Gap Fill Level | Price Gap Zones Magnet हुन्छन् | Opening Gap Areas | Moderate |
| Fresh Zone (1st Touch) | पहिलो पटक Test = Highest Probability | New Breakout Level Retest | Highest |
६.५ Price Action Entry Checklist ENTRY
1
Higher TF Trend Identify गर्नुहोस्
Weekly → Daily → 4H मा Trend Direction पक्का गर्नुहोस्। Trend विरुद्ध कहिले नजानुहोस्।
2
Key Zone पहिचान गर्नुहोस्
Strong Support/Demand Zone वा Resistance/Supply Zone mark गर्नुहोस्। Fresh Zone हो भने अझ राम्रो।
3
Price Zone मा आउन पर्खनुहोस्
Zone बाट टाढा छँदा Entry नगर्नुहोस् — Price आफैँ Zone मा आउँदा Entry गर्नुहोस्।
4
Candlestick Confirmation हेर्नुहोस्
Zone मा Hammer, Engulfing, Doji जस्ता Reversal Pattern आए मात्र Entry। Candle Close भएपछि Enter।
5
Volume Confirm गर्नुहोस्
Reversal Candle मा Average भन्दा बढी Volume छ भने Signal Powerful हुन्छ।
6
SL र R:R Set गर्नुहोस्
Stop Loss Zone को तल/माथि राख्नुहोस्। R:R कम्तिमा 1:2 भए मात्र Trade Enter गर्नुहोस्।
Price Action को सबैभन्दा ठूलो फाइदा
Indicator Lag गर्छ — Price Action Lag गर्दैन। Price नै सत्य हो, Indicator त्यसको छाया मात्र।
Chapter 6 — Key Takeaways
Wyckoff Cycle बुझ्नुस् — Smart Money पछ्याउनुस्
Demand/Supply Zone = Institutional Order Areas
Fresh Zone = सबैभन्दा Powerful Setup
Role Reversal — Support तोडिए Resistance बन्छ
Zone मा Candlestick Confirmation पर्खनुस्
Higher TF Trend विरुद्ध कहिले Trade नगर्नुस्
थप जानकारीका लागि तलको भिडियो अवश्य हेर्नुहोस्।
यस उपयोगी भिडियोका लागि भिडियो क्रिएटरलाई धन्यवाद 🙏
Chapter 7: Candlestick Patterns
In this chapter, you will learn candlestick structures and how to identify bullish and bearish candlestick patterns.
Chapter 7: Candlestick Patterns — Interactive learning guide in Nepali and English
Chapter 7
Candlestick Patterns
क्यान्डलिस्टक ढाँचाहरू — Japanese Candlestick को रहस्य
Candlestick Patterns भनेको Market को Psychology पढ्ने तरिका हो। हरेक Candle ले Buyers र Sellers को शक्ति दर्शाउँछ। यी Pattern सिक्नुले तपाईंको Entry र Exit Timing अत्यन्त राम्रो हुन्छ।
७.१ Candlestick को Structure Anatomy
एउटा Candlestick ले ४ वटा Price Information दिन्छ — Open, High, Low, Close। यी ४ तत्वको सम्बन्ध बुझ्नु नै Candlestick पढ्नुको आधार हो।
Bullish Candle (हरियो)
Openतल हुन्छ (सुरु)
Closeमाथि हुन्छ (अन्त)
BodyOpen देखि Close
Upper WickHigh देखि Close
Lower WickOpen देखि Low
संकेतBuyers हाबी
Bearish Candle (रातो)
Openमाथि हुन्छ (सुरु)
Closeतल हुन्छ (अन्त)
BodyOpen देखि Close
Upper WickOpen देखि High
Lower WickLow देखि Close
संकेतSellers हाबी
Key Rule
Candle को Body जति ठूलो → Momentum त्यति बलियो। Wick जति लामो → Rejection त्यति धेरै। Body भन्दा Wick ठूलो भए Candle Weak हो।
७.२ Pattern Explorer Interactive
तलको buttons मा Pattern Type छान्नुहोस् र कुनै पनि Pattern card मा click गर्नुहोस् — त्यो Pattern को पूरा जानकारी तल देखिन्छ।
Pattern card मा click गर्नुहोस्
७.३ Multi-Candle Patterns Double & Triple
Bullish Engulfing
सानो Bearish Candle पछि ठूलो Bullish Candle ले पूरै ढाक्छ। Downtrend मा Reversal Signal।
Buy Signal
Bearish Engulfing
सानो Bullish Candle पछि ठूलो Bearish Candle ले पूरै ढाक्छ। Uptrend मा Reversal Signal।
Sell Signal
Morning Star (३ Candle)
ठूलो Bearish, सानो Doji, ठूलो Bullish। Downtrend को अन्त — Strong Bullish Reversal।
Strong Buy
Evening Star (३ Candle)
ठूलो Bullish, सानो Doji, ठूलो Bearish। Uptrend को अन्त — Strong Bearish Reversal।
Strong Sell
७.४ Reversal vs Continuation Classification
Reversal Patterns — Trend फर्कन्छ
- Hammer / Shooting Star
- Bullish / Bearish Engulfing
- Morning Star / Evening Star
- Bullish / Bearish Harami
- Piercing Line / Dark Cloud Cover
- Dragonfly / Gravestone Doji
- Tweezer Top / Bottom
Continuation Patterns — Trend जारी
- Three White Soldiers
- Three Black Crows
- Rising Three Methods
- Falling Three Methods
- Mat Hold Pattern
- Tasuki Gap
- Marubozu (Full Body)
| Pattern | Type | Candles | Signal | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hammer | Reversal | Single | Bullish | Medium |
| Shooting Star | Reversal | Single | Bearish | Medium |
| Bullish Engulfing | Reversal | Double | Bullish | High |
| Bearish Engulfing | Reversal | Double | Bearish | High |
| Morning Star | Reversal | Triple | Bullish | Very High |
| Evening Star | Reversal | Triple | Bearish | Very High |
| Doji | Reversal | Single | Neutral | Context |
| Three White Soldiers | Continuation | Triple | Bullish | High |
| Three Black Crows | Continuation | Triple | Bearish | High |
७.५ महत्वपूर्ण नियमहरू Rules
- 1Candle CLOSE हुन पर्खनुस्Candle बन्दै गर्दा Pattern जस्तो देखिए पनि — Close नभएसम्म valid हुँदैन। Early Entry = Trap।
- 2Support/Resistance Zone मा Pattern बढी PowerfulStrong Support मा देखिएको Hammer धेरै भरपर्दो हुन्छ। Context सधैँ हेर्नुस्।
- 3Volume Confirmation हेर्नुस्Reversal Pattern + High Volume = Strong Signal। Volume छैन भने Pattern Weak हुन सक्छ।
- 4Single भन्दा Double/Triple Pattern बढी ReliableMorning Star (३ Candle) ले Single Hammer भन्दा बढी Confirmation दिन्छ।
- 5Trend Context जरुरी छHammer Downtrend मा = Bullish Reversal। Uptrend मा = Continuation मात्र।
- 6Stop Loss Pattern बाहिर राख्नुस्Bullish Pattern मा Buy गरे — SL Pattern को Low को तल। Bearish Pattern मा Sell गरे — SL Pattern को High माथि।
सतर्कता
Candlestick Pattern एक्लैले काम गर्दैन — Price Action, Support/Resistance, Volume र Trend सँगै प्रयोग गर्नुस्।
Chapter 7 — Key Takeaways
Candle = Open, High, Low, Close को कथा
Body ठूलो = Momentum बलियो
Zone मा Pattern = High Probability
Volume Confirm = Signal Powerful
Candle Close पछि मात्र Entry
Triple Pattern = Most Reliable
थप जानकारीका लागि तलको भिडियो अवश्य हेर्नुहोस्।
यस उपयोगी भिडियोका लागि भिडियो क्रिएटरलाई धन्यवाद 🙏
Chapter 8: Support & Resistance
This chapter explains how to identify support and resistance levels and use them effectively in trading.
Chapter 8
Support & Resistance
सपोर्ट र रेजिस्टेन्स — Price को असली Battlefield
Support र Resistance भनेको Chart मा ती Level हुन् जहाँ Price बारम्बार Reaction दिन्छ। यी Level बुझ्नु भनेको Market को Map बुझ्नु हो — यहाँबाट नै Entry, Exit र Stop Loss तय हुन्छ।
८.१ Support र Resistance के हो? CONCEPT
Support Level
Price तल जान रोक्ने Level हो
यहाँ Buyers धेरै हुन्छन्
Demand Zone नै Support हो
Price यहाँबाट Bounce गर्छ माथि
Buy Entry को उत्तम ठाउँ
Buy Near Support
Resistance Level
Price माथि जान रोक्ने Level हो
यहाँ Sellers धेरै हुन्छन्
Supply Zone नै Resistance हो
Price यहाँबाट Reject हुन्छ तल
Sell Entry वा Exit को ठाउँ
Sell Near Resistance
८.२ Interactive S/R Chart LIVE CHART
तलका buttons थिचेर Support, Resistance, Breakout र Role Reversal को scenario हेर्नुहोस् — chart live update हुन्छ।
S/R Scenario Explorer Interactive
८.३ S/R कसरी खिच्ने? HOW TO DRAW
1
Higher Timeframe बाट सुरु गर्नुस् (Weekly → Daily)
Weekly र Daily Chart मा देखिने Level सबैभन्दा Strong हुन्छ। Lower TF Level भन्दा Higher TF Level बढी भरपर्दो।
2
Swing High र Swing Low Mark गर्नुस्
Chart मा Price जहाँबाट उल्टियो (Swing High = Resistance, Swing Low = Support) ती points mark गर्नुस्।
3
पटक-पटक Bounce भएको Zone हेर्नुस् (२+ times)
जुन Level मा Price दुईपटक वा बढी Bounce गर्यो — त्यो Level Valid मानिन्छ। ३+ पटक भए अझ बलियो।
4
Line होइन, ZONE बनाउनुस् (±0.5–1% range)
S/R एउटा exact line होइन — एउटा Zone हो। Price exactly same Level मा आउँदैन, zone मा आउँछ। Rectangle बनाउनुस्।
5
Candle Body लाई हेर्नुस् — Wick होइन
Zone खिच्दा Candle को Body (Open/Close) लाई आधार बनाउनुस्। Wick/Shadow लाई Zone को सीमा नमान्नुस्।
S/R Zone Drawing Demo Visual
Support Zone
Resistance Zone
Bullish candle
Bearish candle
८.४ Role Reversal Concept ROLE REVERSAL
Role Reversal भनेको Trading को सबैभन्दा Powerful Concept मध्ये एक हो। Broken Support नयाँ Resistance बन्छ — Broken Resistance नयाँ Support बन्छ।
Support → Resistance
Support Level तोडिएपछि Price त्यही Level लाई Retest गर्न आउँछ — अब यो Resistance को काम गर्छ।
Sell on Retest
Resistance → Support
Resistance Level तोडिएपछि Price त्यही Level लाई Retest गर्न आउँछ — अब यो Support को काम गर्छ।
Buy on Retest
Role Reversal — Trading Strategy
Breakout हुँदा तुरुन्त नपस्नुस् — Retest को प्रतीक्षा गर्नुस्। Price Broken Level मा Retest गर्न आउँदा Entry गर्नुस्। यो Conservative तर High Probability Setup हो।
८.५ S/R Level को शक्ति मापन गर्ने Factors STRENGTH
Test Count (पटक-पटक Touch)
1x3x5x+
जति धेरै पटक Price यो Level मा Bounce गर्यो — त्यति बलियो Level। ३+ पटक = Very Strong।
Volume at Touch
LowAvgHigh
Level Touch हुँदा High Volume भए Institutional Interest को प्रमाण। Level बलियो हुन्छ।
Round Number Factor
OddEvenRound
Rs.100, 500, 1000, 2000 जस्ता Round Number मा Psychological S/R हुन्छ — NEPSE मा धेरै काम लाग्छ।
Timeframe Weight
5MDailyWeekly
Weekly Level > Daily Level > 4H Level। Higher Timeframe को Level सबैले हेर्छन् — बढी Respected।
52-Week High/Low
Monthly6M52W
Annual High र Annual Low सबैको नजरमा हुन्छ। यहाँ Strong Reaction अवश्य आउँछ।
Time Spent at Level
HoursDaysWeeks
Price जति लामो समय Level मा Consolidate गर्छ — त्यति बढी Orders त्यहाँ Placed हुन्छन्।
८.६ NEPSE मा S/R को उदाहरण NEPSE
| Level Type | NEPSE Example | Strength | Trade Approach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Round Number | NABIL: Rs.1000, Rs.1500 HIDCL: Rs.200, Rs.300 |
Very Strong | Bounce expect गर्नुस् — SL level बाहिर |
| 52-Week Low | Annual Low = Strong Support Previous year Low |
Strong | Candlestick confirmation पर्खनुस् |
| 52-Week High | Annual High = Strong Resistance Breakout = Big Move |
Strong | Breakout + Retest Strategy |
| IPO Issue Price | Issue Price मा Support Discount मा Strong Demand |
Moderate | Accumulation Zone मानिन्छ |
| Previous High/Low | Last Quarter High/Low Budget पछिको High |
Moderate | Volume confirm भए Trade |
| Circuit Limit Area | Upper/Lower Circuit (±10%) Gap Level पछि |
Context | Circuit break पछि volatile — सावधान |
८.७ S/R मा Trade Entry Checklist ENTRY
1
Level Identify — Higher TF बाट
Weekly वा Daily Chart मा Key S/R Level mark गर्नुस् — पहिले Big Picture हेर्नुस्।
2
Price Level मा आउन पर्खनुस्
Level बाट टाढा छँदा Entry नगर्नुस् — Level मा आउँदा Reaction हेर्नुस्।
3
Candlestick Confirmation हेर्नुस्
Support मा Hammer/Engulfing आए Buy। Resistance मा Shooting Star/Engulfing आए Sell।
4
Volume Confirmation
Average Volume भन्दा बढी Volume + Reversal Candle = High Probability Setup।
5
SL Zone को बाहिर — R:R minimum 1:2
Buy Entry मा SL Support Zone को तल। Sell Entry मा SL Resistance Zone को माथि। R:R 1:2 भन्दा कम भए Trade नगर्नुस्।
सावधानी
S/R Level perfect होइन — यो Zone हो। Price Level तोडेर थोरै गएर फर्कन सक्छ (Fake Breakout/Stop Hunt)। SL थोरै Zone बाहिर राख्नुस् — exact Level मा नराख्नुस्।
Chapter 8 — Key Takeaways
Support = Buyers को Floor, Resistance = Sellers को Ceiling
Zone बनाउनुस् — exact Line होइन
Higher TF Level = Stronger र More Reliable
Role Reversal = Broken S/R Flips
३+ Touch = Very Strong Level
Candle Close + Volume = Best Confirmation
थप जानकारीका लागि तलको भिडियो अवश्य हेर्नुहोस्।
यस उपयोगी भिडियोका लागि भिडियो क्रिएटरलाई धन्यवाद 🙏
Chapter 9: Trend Following
In this chapter, you will learn how to identify trends, use moving averages, and draw trendlines for better trade decisions.
Chapter 9: Trend Following — Interactive learning guide for NEPSE trading
Chapter 9
Trend Following
ट्रेन्ड फलोइङ — "Trend is your friend"
Trend Following भनेको Market को दिशाको साथ Trade गर्ने सबैभन्दा सुरक्षित र नाफाजनक Strategy हो। Trend विरुद्ध जानु भनेको नदीको विपरीत पौड्नु जस्तै हो।
९.१ Trend Identification Concept
Trend बुझ्न Higher High (HH), Higher Low (HL), Lower High (LH), Lower Low (LL) को Structure हेर्नुस्। Trend Type छान्नुस्:
Trend structure explorer Interactive
Uptrend: Higher High (HH) र Higher Low (HL) को pattern। प्रत्येक Pullback (HL) मा Buy Entry गर्नुस्।
Uptrend (Bullish)
HH र HL बनाउँदै। HL मा Buy — Uptrend सँग जानुस्।
Downtrend (Bearish)
LH र LL बनाउँदै। LH मा Sell वा Avoid गर्नुस्।
Sideways (Range)
Range मा Bounce। Breakout को प्रतीक्षा गर्नुस्।
९.२ Moving Average बाट Trend Moving average
MA Period जति ठूलो — उति Long-term Trend। MA period adjust गर्नुस्:
Moving average live chart Interactive
Price
Fast MA (20)
Slow MA (50)
MA period adjust गरेर Trend कसरी change हुन्छ हेर्नुस्।
Golden Cross — Buy signal
Fast MA ले Slow MA लाई माथिबाट काट्छ। Strong Bullish Signal। NEPSE मा EMA20 ले EMA50 काट्दा राम्रो।
Death Cross — Sell signal
Fast MA ले Slow MA लाई तलबाट काट्छ। Strong Bearish Signal। Long Position बन्द गर्नुस्।
| MA type | Period | Use | NEPSE मा | Speed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EMA 9 | 9 bars | Intraday | 15M Chart मा | Very fast |
| EMA 20 | 20 bars | Short swing | Daily Chart मा | Fast |
| SMA 50 | 50 bars | Medium trend | Daily/Weekly | Medium |
| SMA 200 | 200 bars | Long-term | Weekly Chart | Slow |
| EMA 20+50 | Crossover | NEPSE swing | Recommended | Balanced |
९.३ Trendline Drawing Trendline
Trendline भनेको Swing Highs वा Swing Lows लाई जोड्ने line हो। Trendline type हेर्नुस्:
Trendline interactive demo Interactive
Uptrend मा Higher Lows जोड्नुस् — यो Dynamic Support हो।
1
Uptrend line — Higher Lows जोड्नुस्
Uptrend मा Swing Lows (Higher Lows) लाई straight line ले जोड्नुस् — यो Dynamic Support हो।
2
Downtrend line — Lower Highs जोड्नुस्
Downtrend मा Swing Highs (Lower Highs) लाई जोड्नुस् — यो Dynamic Resistance हो।
3
Minimum 2 touch — Valid line
Trendline valid हुन कम्तिमा 2 Swing Points touch हुनुपर्छ। 3+ touch = Very Strong।
4
Trendline break = Trend change signal
Trendline तोड्यो भने Trend बदलिन सक्छ। Volume + Candle Close Confirmation हेर्नुस्।
९.४ Trend Following Entry Strategy Strategy
Pullback entry strategy — Best entry method Live
EMA 20
EMA 50
Buy zone
Stop loss
Pullback entry — सबैभन्दा राम्रो trend entry
Uptrend मा Price EMA20 वा EMA50 मा Pullback गर्दा Buy Entry गर्नुस् — यो सबैभन्दा Low Risk र High Probability Setup हो।
| Scenario | Action | Entry | Stop loss | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uptrend + EMA20 pullback | Buy | EMA20 + Bullish candle | EMA20 को तल | Prev. High |
| Uptrend + EMA50 pullback | Strong buy | EMA50 + Hammer/Engulf | EMA50 को तल | 1.5–2x Risk |
| Downtrend + EMA20 rebound | Sell/Avoid | EMA20 + Bearish candle | EMA20 को माथि | Prev. Low |
| Sideways range | Wait | Breakout को प्रतीक्षा | Range बाहिर | Range height |
९.५ NEPSE मा Trend Following Tips NEPSE
1
EMA 20 + EMA 50 Crossover — Best NEPSE setup
NEPSE Daily Chart मा EMA20 र EMA50 Crossover राम्रो काम गर्छ। Golden Cross = Buy, Death Cross = Exit।
2
Budget र Monetary Policy Trend बदल्न सक्छ
NRB Monetary Policy र Government Budget पछि Sector Trend बदलिन्छ।
3
Banking Sector Trend = NEPSE Trend
Banking Sector को Weight सबैभन्दा बढी — Banking Uptrend = NEPSE Uptrend।
4
Weekly Trend हेरेर Daily मा Trade
Weekly Uptrend छ भने Daily Pullback Buy Setup खोज्नुस् — Top-Down Approach सबैभन्दा effective।
5
Trend counter मा कहिल्यै नजानुस्
Downtrend मा "सस्तो छ, किन्छु" खतरनाक। Reversal Confirm नभएसम्म Counter-Trend Trade नगर्नुस्।
सावधानी — Common mistakes
MA Lag गर्छ — Price पहिले नै बदलिसकेको हुन्छ। MA एक्लैमा Trust नगर्नुस् — Price Action र Volume सँग Combine गर्नुस्।
Chapter 9 — Key Takeaways
HH+HL = Uptrend, LH+LL = Downtrend
Trend विरुद्ध कहिल्यै Trade नगर्नुस्
EMA20+50 = NEPSE को Best MA Combo
Pullback = सबैभन्दा Low Risk Entry
Golden Cross = Buy, Death Cross = Exit
3+ Trendline Touch = Very Strong
Chapter 10: Breakout Trading
This chapter teaches breakout strategies, types of breakouts, and ways to avoid false breakouts.
Chapter 10
Breakout Trading
ब्रेकआउट ट्रेडिङ — नयाँ Trend को सुरुवात
Breakout भनेको Price ले Key Level (Support/Resistance/Trendline/Pattern) तोडेर नयाँ Direction मा जानु हो। Breakout Trade गर्न आउँछ भने ठूलो नाफा हुन्छ — तर False Breakout पनि धेरै हुन्छ। यो Chapter मा Real र Fake Breakout छुट्याउन सिक्नुहोस्।
१०.१ Breakout Type Explorer Interactive
Breakout Scenarios
१०.२ Real vs False Breakout Comparison
Real Breakout (साँचो)
High Volume सँगै Break हुन्छ
Strong Candle Close Level माथि/तल
Retest गरेपछि Continue हुन्छ
Momentum हुन्छ, Price टिक्छ
Multiple TF Confirmation
Entry गर्न मिल्छ
False Breakout (झूटो)
Low Volume मा Break हुन्छ
Wick मात्र Level तोड्छ, Close गर्दैन
तुरुन्त फर्केर आउँछ
Consolidation मा फर्किन्छ
Stop Hunt / Liquidity Grab हो
Trap हो — नजानुस्
Real vs False — Side by Side
१०.३ Breakout Quality Checker Calculator
Breakout Strength Calculator Live
Low (0.5x)Average (1x)High (2x+)
१०.४ False Breakout बाट बच्ने तरिका Protection
1
Candle CLOSE को पर्खनुस् — Wick मा नजानुस्
Breakout Candle पूरा close भएपछि मात्र Entry। Wick ले Level छुँदैमा Entry गर्नु Trap हो।
2
Volume Average भन्दा 1.5x–2x बढी हुनुपर्छ
Volume Confirm नभएको Breakout = False Breakout को सम्भावना धेरै।
3
Retest Strategy — Conservative Entry
Breakout पछि Broken Level Retest गर्दा Reversal Candle देखिए Entry — Risk धेरै कम।
4
Tight SL राख्नुस् — Level को 0.5% भित्र
False Breakout भए SL Hit भएर बच्नुस् — Loss सानो हुन्छ।
5
Multiple TF Confirmation हेर्नुस्
Daily + Weekly दुवैमा Breakout Direction Align छ भने Signal बलियो।
6
Round Numbers नजिक Extra Caution
Rs.500, Rs.1000 मा False Breakout र Stop Hunt बढी हुन्छ।
१०.५ Entry Checklist Checklist
Entry गर्न हुने
✓Candle Level माथि Close भयो
✓Volume 1.5x+ Average भन्दा बढी
✓Strong Body Candle (Wick सानो)
✓Higher TF Trend Align
✓Level ३+ पटक Test भएको
✓R:R minimum 1:2 छ
Entry नगर्नुस्
✗Wick मात्र Level छुँदा
✗Low Volume मा Breakout
✗News Event को आधारमा
✗Higher TF Downtrend मा Upside Break
✗Opening पहिलो ३० मिनेट
✗Circuit Limit नजिक छ
१०.६ NEPSE मा Breakout Trading NEPSE
Powerful Setup
52-Week High Breakout
Annual High तोडिए ठूलो Move। Institutional Buying सुरु हुन्छ।
Common
IPO Opening Day
Opening Price नै Resistance — माथि Break भए Trade।
Seasonal
Budget/Policy पछि
Hydropower, Banking Sector मा Breakout। Wait गर्नुस्।
Sector
Banking → Others Follow
Banking Breakout पछि Insurance र Finance follow।
Caution
Circuit Breaker ±10%
Circuit लाग्ने Stock मा SL Hit नहुन सक्छ। सावधान।
High Success
Consolidation Breakout
२–४ हप्ता Sideways पछि Breakout = Strong Move।
| Breakout Type | Target | Stop Loss | Success Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Resistance Breakout | Consolidation Height जति | Resistance को तल | High (with Vol) |
| Support Breakdown | Consolidation Height जति तल | Support को माथि | High (with Vol) |
| Trendline Breakout | Trendline Height जति | Trendline Opposite | Medium |
| 52-Week High Break | Pattern Height + Extra | Previous High को तल | Very High |
Chapter 10 — Key Takeaways
Candle CLOSE पछि मात्र Entry
Volume 1.5x+ = Real Breakout
Retest Entry = Safest Method
False Breakout = Stop Hunt Trap
52-Week High = NEPSE Best Setup
Consolidation लामो = Breakout ठूलो
